HAVEX online ·

Prediction-market arbitrage on Polymarket

HAVEX is an automated arbitrage system on the largest prediction market. It scans YES/NO and related-market spreads, opens mathematically grounded positions with positive expected value. Dividends accrue daily, target return — up to 20% / mo. Principal withdrawal can be requested at any time

Infrastructure & partners

Built on battle-tested protocols

HAVEX integrates with leading infrastructure partners of the blockchain industry. Every layer — from trade execution to fund withdrawal — runs on audited solutions with years of production history

01
Trading & markets
  • Polymarketprediction market
  • Chainlinkdata oracles
  • Pyth Networkmarket quotes
  • UMA Protocolevent resolution
02
Blockchain infrastructure
  • Solanapool settlement network
  • Phantomnon-custodial wallet
  • Jupiterliquidity aggregator
  • MeteoraDEX liquidity
  • HeliusRPC nodes
03
Security & audit
  • Hackenindependent audit
  • Immunefibug bounty program
  • Fireblockshot key custody
  • ChainalysisAML monitoring
04
Deposits & withdrawals
  • Stripecard payments
  • MoonPayfiat-to-crypto
  • Circle / USDC1:1 pUSD backing
  • Mercuryobank transfers
Real-time metrics

HAVEX in numbers

Live platform statistics. All values update automatically based on the trading system

Captured spread share
94%

of detected arbitrage windows executed before they close

Average return
up to 20%

with daily reinvestment of accruals

Active capital
$2.4M

managed by the HAVEX system

Trades in 24h
1,847

executed by HAVEX models

Active users
2,400+

in the partner network

Isolated pools
100+

independent trading contracts

System uptime
99.98%

continuous operation over 180 days

Partner lines
2 × 10%

daily payouts to partners

Process

Four steps to passive income

The platform requires no active management. A single contract funding is enough — HAVEX runs every operation automatically. Dividends accrue daily, up to 20% per month. Principal withdrawal can be requested at any time — system processing takes up to 10 days, during which yield does not accrue on the withdrawn amount

01

Fund your contract

Funding is available via bank card, wire transfer or cryptocurrency. Minimum amount $100. Funds are automatically converted to SOL and bridged to trading wallets on Polymarket

02

Spread scanning

The system continuously monitors the order book of all active Polymarket markets — looking for inconsistencies between YES, NO and related contracts where the price sum deviates from $1.00

03

Arbitrage capture

When a spread above 2.5% net of fees is detected, both sides are opened simultaneously through the Polymarket API. Profit is locked in mathematically — independent of event outcome

04

Dividend payout

Dividends accrue daily and can be withdrawn in stablecoins (USDC/USDT). Target return — up to 20% per month. Principal withdrawal can be requested at any time, processing takes up to 10 days

Arbitrage system

Structural arbitrage on the prediction market

HAVEX works with price discrepancies between linked Polymarket contracts. When the sum of opposite-side prices deviates from $1.00, or logically dependent markets are inconsistently priced — the system opens positions on both sides simultaneously. Return is determined by the mathematical structure of the trade, not by an event-outcome forecast

Sample arbitrage trade
Polymarket · 5m
YES
Will BTC ≥ $97,500 in 5 min?
contract price
$0.48
NO
Will BTC ≥ $97,500 in 5 min?
contract price
$0.49
position sum
$0.97
Payout on any outcome
$1.00
Trade spread
+$0.03 per contract · 3.1%
HAVEX · live
6 / 12 active
activeanalysingsignalidle

12 types of arbitrage strategies

Each cell of the system specialises in a single mathematical class of inefficiencies. Combined coverage spans the entire spectrum of arbitrage opportunities on prediction markets

α
Long Arb
YES + NO < $1.00 — buy both sides
β
Short Arb
YES + NO > $1.00 — short via position split
γ
Combinatorial
Logically linked markets · Dutch-book
δ
NegRisk
Multi-outcome baskets summing > 100%
ε
Cross-Market
Same outcome — multiple Polymarket markets
ζ
Tail-End
Trades at the final resolution stage
η
Spread Capture
Bid/ask spread capture in the order book
θ
Order Book
Order-book inefficiencies
ι
Sizing
Position sizing optimised by Kelly
κ
Liquidity
Market depth and slippage control
λ
Latency
Execution speed, order race
μ
Fee Optimizer
Fee accounting — net spread > 2.5%
Target markets

Assets and timeframes under analysis

HAVEX operates on short binary markets — high liquidity, predictable microstructure, frequent price dislocations. As of March 2026, Polymarket extended its fee/rebate regime to all crypto timeframes — opening arbitrage trading on 1-hour markets with an additional rebate flow on top of the spread

Bitcoin
5 minutesactive
15 minutesactive

"Will BTC price ≥ $X in N minutes?"

Ξ
Ethereum
5 minutesactive
15 minutesactive

"Will ETH price ≥ $X in N minutes?"

XRP
5 minutesactive
15 minutesactive

"Will XRP price ≥ $X in N minutes?"

Expansion roadmap
Assets
SOL · DOGE · MATIC
Timeframes
1m · 30m · 1h
Events
Non-crypto events
Technology core

Infrastructure that cannot be faked

Arbitrage requires three things: speed, liquidity and resilient infrastructure. HAVEX runs on top of battle-tested on-chain Solana protocols with multi-step capital routing through leading DeFi aggregators

100
order-book points per minute

Continuous scanning of YES, NO and related Polymarket order books. Hunting for spreads above the fee threshold

2.5%
minimum net spread after fees

A position is only opened on confirmed spread above 2.5% net of gas, Polymarket fees and slippage. No speculative trades

~55ms
atomic pair execution

Full cycle from opportunity detection to profit lock-in — about 55 milliseconds. YES and NO orders execute simultaneously through Polymarket's CLOB v2 API — the new exchange architecture eliminated race conditions

Maker rebates
second source of yield

HAVEX paired orders qualify as maker liquidity. Polymarket pays daily rebates in USDC out of taker fees — a yield stream on top of the arbitrage spread

Fiat → SOL → pUSD
capital routing to Polymarket

Deposits convert to SOL, bridge to Polygon and swap into pUSD — Polymarket's native settlement asset, pegged 1:1 to USDC. The multi-step route optimises fees at each leg

dozens
isolated arbitrage pools

Capital is allocated across independent trading contracts — each works with a separate group of markets. The architecture rules out concentration risk

USDC / USDT
stablecoin withdrawals

Dividends and deposit principal are paid out in stablecoins — no exposure to crypto volatility. Compatible with most exchanges and wallets

CLOB v2 ready
integration with the upgraded exchange

HAVEX runs on Polymarket's v2 stack — a re-engineered engine with improved reliability, eliminated nonce race conditions and native attribution via builderCode

Risk parameters

Three-level capital protection

Risk controls are built into every stage of system operation. Thresholds and limits are not manually tunable — they are hard-wired into execution logic and trigger before a position is opened

Level 01
Trade level
  • Min net spread0.5%
  • Max slippage0.3% / leg
  • Min order-book depth100 shares
  • Atomic executionmandatory
Level 02
Portfolio level
  • Max total exposure≤ 85% TVL
  • Per-asset capenforced
  • Per-market capenforced
  • Correlation monitoringactive
Level 03
System level
  • Auto-cutofferrors > 5% / hour
  • Max data latency5 seconds
  • Monitoring24 / 7
  • Emergency pauseavailable to guardian
Capital security

What the system can and cannot do with deposits

Capital is held in infrastructure with a strictly bounded set of permitted operations. By design, the architecture excludes actions that could lead to loss or freezing of funds

Vault — operator rights

Trading on Polymarket only

The system operator receives exactly the set of rights required to execute arbitrage trades. Anything beyond that scope is technically impossible

What the system can do

  • Trade on Polymarket
    buy / sell YES and NO within the arbitrage logic
  • Allocate capital across pools
    according to the risk-controller logic

What the system cannot do

  • Withdraw funds to external addresses
    any external transfers are technically blocked
  • Place directional bets
    only paired hedged YES + NO positions
  • Freeze user funds
    principal withdrawal can be requested at any time

Additional safeguards

Update timelock
all logic changes go through a delayed queue
Emergency pause
guardian can halt operations at any moment
Limited approvals
operational level with a constrained mandate
Multisig
administrative operations require multiple signatures
Backtest results

Strategy simulation over 90 days

Backtest results on Polymarket historical data. Testing was performed on the full model accounting for fees, slippage, actual order-book depth and real execution latency

Net return
+71.4%

over 90 days, after fees

Profitable trades
93.2%

out of 38,460 executed

Sharpe ratio
6.8

risk-adjusted return

Max drawdown
−0.18%

largest TVL decline

Test parameters

  • Test period90 days
  • Initial capital$10,000 USDC
  • Total trades38,460
  • Final capital$17,140

Result distribution

  • Avg daily (net)+0.59%
  • Loss days3 of 90
  • Best day+0.95%
  • Worst day−0.18%

Historical data does not reproduce all nuances of live trading — actual execution conditions, latency, liquidity and counterparty behaviour may differ

Yield calculator

Estimate potential return

Based on HAVEX historical performance — up to 20% per month with daily reinvestment. Past results do not guarantee future returns

Deposit amount
$1,000
$100$100,000
Monthly return
12% mo
9%20%
From 10% to 20% per month. Range based on HAVEX historical results
Investment period
12 months
1 mo36 mo
Final balance after 12 months
$0
19.48 USDC at the current rate
Net profit
+$2,896
ROI
+290%
Initial deposit
$1,000
Avg / month
$241
withdrawn in stablecoins · USDC / USDT
Fees

The platform earns only when you earn

Transparent structure with no hidden charges. No management fees, deposit or withdrawal fees — only a performance fee on profit under the High-Water Mark principle

Performance fee
20%

on locked-in profit from arbitrage trades

Management fee
0%

for capital management

Deposit
0%

any funding method

Withdrawal
0%

dividends and deposit principal

Pool / wallet transfers
0%

between Wallet Balance and Pool Balance

High-Water Mark

Performance fee is charged only on growth above the historical maximum. If the result declines — the platform earns nothing until the pool exceeds its previous peak

Comparison with industry standard
 
HAVEX
Hedge fund
Management
0%
2%
Performance
20%
20%
Deposit / withdrawal
0%
0–1%
Lockup
none
3–12 mo
Partner program

Two lines. Ten percent each

A two-tier partner program with 10% payouts on the daily yield of invited users. Bonuses do not reduce referrals' income — the source of payments is segregated within the platform's infrastructure

Line 1
10%
Direct referrals
Line 2
10%
Their referrals
You
Earnings from referrals
+$93/mo
referral income
Line 1 · 10%
+$30/mo
+$45/mo
+$18/mo
Line 2 · 10%
Their invites
+$35/mo total
+$8
+$12
+$5
+$7
+$3
Bonuses are paid by us·your friends earn the same
Roadmap

Five phases of protocol development

From infrastructure launch to a fully-fledged ecosystem. Each phase increases capacity, expands the set of supported markets and deepens DeFi-tool integrations

Phase 01
Foundation
· completed
  • Multi-agent system and execution engine development
  • Polymarket CLOB API integration via WebSocket
  • Backtests on 90 days of historical data
  • Risk-controller prototype with three-level protection
Phase 02
Launch
· completed
  • Vault infrastructure deployment on Polygon
  • Bridge connection for crypto deposits
  • Platform launch for Genesis investors
  • 8 markets activated: BTC, ETH, XRP × 5m / 15m
Phase 03
Growth
· current
  • Two-tier partner program launch
  • Telegram Mini App for capital management
  • Expansion to 10+ markets · capacity up to $7M
  • Public dashboard with PnL charts and trade history
Phase 04
Scale
· planned
  • 20+ markets including non-crypto events
  • Pool capacity $10M+ with institutional track
  • Program for major investors
  • Protocol governance token launch
Phase 05
Ecosystem
· planned
  • Marketplace for third-party trading strategies
  • Cross-chain expansion beyond Polygon and Solana
  • SDK for HAVEX integration into third-party platforms
  • Open analytics and public data API
Q&A

Frequently asked questions

Direct answers to the most common questions about how the platform works

Minimum contract funding — $100

Capital working autonomously

Activation via Telegram. HAVEX starts working immediately after funding. Dividends accrue daily up to 20% per month

By starting, you agree to the Terms. Returns are not guaranteed. Invest only what you can afford to lose